How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?
AwardsEntertainment1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast0-2 20%Leader of 5 outcomes
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multiple choice
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Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMay 23, 26, 11:40 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 79th Cannes Film Festival (May 2026) featured 22 films in its main competition.
- This question asks how many of those films will receive at least one nomination at the 99th Academy Awards (expected March 2027).
- The 22 competition films are:
- All of a Sudden, Another Day, The Beloved, The Birthday Party, Bitter Christmas, The Black Ball, Coward, The Dreamed Adventure, Fatherland, Fjord, Gentle Monster, Hope, A Man of His Time, The Man I Love, Minotaur, Moulin, Nagi Notes, Paper Tiger, Parallel Tales, Sheep in the Box, The Unknown, A Woman’s Life
- RESOLVES to the number of distinct competition films that receive at least one nomination in any category at the 99th Academy Awards.
Open markets
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.9pt61.2%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.6%
- Kylian Mbappé+1.9pt11.7%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4M
- 24h Vol
- $439.3K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $136.8K
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-3.0pt62.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.6%
- Control Resonant+1.0pt8%
+16 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.7pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.0pt60%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $32.8K
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Shakira & Burna Boy39.8%
- Bad Bunny-2.0pt30.6%
- Anitta with Shakira25%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination??
- Manifold Markets prices 0-2 at 20% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination? resolve?
- How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The 79th Cannes Film Festival (May 2026) featured 22 films in its main competition.