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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. GPT 5.6 released by…?
Manifold Markets

GPT 5.6 released by…?

AITechOne-Off6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
11.59pm ET May 31 2026 0%
Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters

38

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

May 18, 26, 3:17 AMDec 31, 26, 2:14 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

11.59pm ET June 7 20261%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Manifold Markets
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2.
  • (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
  • Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market.
  • Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.