Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Loki face reveal 100%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
278
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 24, 2:49 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
I will resolve this however I want to
Manifold MarketsWill the linked Aella market resolve YES?
Manifold MarketsScientology Run Prop Bets [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsHarry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Kalshi60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
KalshiWhich celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
KalshiRules
Answers will resolve as they occur and by the end of the elbaf arc, any events that don't occur will resolve to "No"
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elbaf Megathread (Answers will resolve as they occur)?
- Manifold Markets prices Loki face reveal at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Elbaf Megathread (Answers will resolve as they occur) resolve?
- Elbaf Megathread (Answers will resolve as they occur) is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Elbaf Megathread (Answers will resolve as they occur) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Answers will resolve as they occur and by the end of the elbaf arc, any events that don't occur will resolve to "No"