Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 12, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 46 days ago
StaleOct 10, 25, 1:51 PMNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes1%
Related Markets
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$462KJD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
$397.8KVivek Ramaswamy: 51%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$273.8KGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
$268.9KAt least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$232KGadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
$227.4KDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.