Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 6:24 PM UTCMay 1, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
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PolymarketMore white-collar layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiMore tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
LimitlessRoblox employees will spend more time using Roblox for remote meetings than with video
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if sum of "tech employees laid off" at https://layoffs.fyi/ for 2026 and 2027 is over 400k.
- Will resolve at the end of Q1 2028 to allow data for 2027 to stabilize.
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-3.0pt60.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+3.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $654.7K
- 24h Vol
- $626.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt34.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt23.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt19.1%
+23 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)? resolve?
- Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)? is scheduled to resolve on May 1, 2028.
- How is Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if sum of "tech employees laid off" at https://layoffs.fyi/ for 2026 and 2027 is over 400k.