Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastI begin pursuing dating 100%Leader of 19 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 26, 26, 2:53 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
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KalshiRules
Options resolve YES if they happen in 2026.
- Otherwise NO.
- I'll give updates for important life changes and explanations whenever an option resolves YES.
- I’m a young American man.
- I'm single as of market creation.
- I work full time and have substantial savings.
Open markets
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt44.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt29.7%
- <40-7.0pt13.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.5K
- 24h Vol
- $29.4K
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane89%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Renoir84%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9K
- 24h Vol
- $9K
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Total Vol
- $7.9K
- 24h Vol
- $6.7K
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Total Vol
- $21.1K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Total Vol
- $17.9K
- 24h Vol
- $1.1K
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Total Vol
- $158.3K
- 24h Vol
- $287.1
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
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- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [Add options] @Parallax love life prop bets 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices I begin pursuing dating at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does [Add options] @Parallax love life prop bets 2026 resolve?
- [Add options] @Parallax love life prop bets 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is [Add options] @Parallax love life prop bets 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Options resolve YES if they happen in 2026.