Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 53.5%
Yes 53.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 11:00 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 2:03 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Chinese Yuan be among the top 3 global payments currencies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we find Yuan Shao's remains/grave by EOY2055?
Manifold MarketsChina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yunchaokete Bu
PolymarketTien vs Hurkacz
KalshiZverev vs Norrie
KalshiRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuan Yue and Mirra Andreeva in the WTA China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Yuan Yue' if Yuan Yue advances against Mirra Andreeva.
- This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Yuan Yue.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — China Open: Yue Yuan vs Mirra Andreeva · Completed Match 97%