Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 24, 9:53 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "yes" if before the end of 2026, China removes any restrictions on buying/selling CNY for foreign currency, and that there is effectively no distinction left between CNY and CNH (i.e. that it is trivial to exchange them at par, without restriction).
Open markets
Foreign ExchangePOLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6M
- 24h Vol
- $28.8K
KALSHIEURUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.14199%
- Above 1.14999%
- Above 1.151+3.0pt98%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $23.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
- 2.2M++4.5pt82.7%
- 2.1-2.2M-2.3pt10.6%
- 2.0-2.1M-1.1pt2.9%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIAUDUSD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 0.70799%
- Above 0.70199%
- Above 0.71384%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.2K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
KALSHIUSDCAD price on Sep 11 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Above 1.36795%
- Above 1.37190%
- Above 1.37386%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3K
- 24h Vol
- $3K
POLYMARKETWhat will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ 99.50+41.3pt100%
- ↓ 99.00+32.5pt100%
- ↓ 99.50100%
+18 more outcomes
- USD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
- USD x Iranian rials End of December?
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- USD/JPY price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026? resolve?
- China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is China to make the Yuan freely convertible by end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "yes" if before the end of 2026, China removes any restrictions on buying/selling CNY for foreign currency, and that there is effectively no distinction left between CNY and CNH (i.e. that it is trivial to exchange them at par, without restriction).