FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
6.75 CNY 93%
6.75 CNY 93%Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$473
Low liquidityTraders
15
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts if the daily close price of 1 (one) U.S. Dollar expressed in Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY exchange rate) will reach any of the values listed in the markets between January 1st, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Dollar–Chinese Yuan monitor published by the China Foreign Exchange Trade System & National Interbank Funding Center throughout the period.
- If the PDS data for that date is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same closing USD/CNY rates from MarketWatch’s historical data download or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations or widely used market data providers citing end-of-day market prices.
- Futuur will resolve these markets according to the substantive exchange-rate outcome and market intent, not minor technical or formatting differences.
- If foreign-exchange markets experience significant disruptions during the event's period, Futuur may use its discretion to determine the most appropriate comparable data for resolution; if no fair determination is possible, the markets may be cancelled with a public explanation.
