KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Sep 11, 2026, 9:05 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 8:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 154.43721%
Above 154.34765%
Above 154.34988%
Above 154.40552%
Above 154.40155%
Above 154.39552%
Above 154.38160%
Above 154.38377%
Above 154.43111%
Above 154.43313%
Above 154.42316%
Above 154.38712%
Above 154.383Lost
Above 154.357Lost
Above 154.361Lost
Above 154.421Lost
Above 154.395Lost
Above 154.355Lost
Above 154.373Lost
Above 154.377Lost
Above 154.403Lost
Above 154.367Lost
Above 154.369Lost
Above 154.439Lost
Above 154.397Lost
Above 154.379Lost
Above 154.413Lost
Above 154.407Lost
Above 154.401Lost
Above 154.417Lost
Above 154.419Lost
Above 154.347Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the value of the USDJPY opening candlestick is the named outcome at 5pm ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - USDJPY
- The market resolves based on the open value of the USDJPY exchange rate as published by Pyth at 5pm ET on Sep 11, 2026.
- If the rate is the named outcome at that time, the market resolves to Yes.
- If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- Rounding to four decimal places shall be assumed unless otherwise specified.
- If no data is available from Pyth at the specified time, the most recently available value will be used.