KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
85.49 or below No observed price
85.49 or below No observed priceMarket quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownSpread
97.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:01 AM UTCOct 30, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
KalshiHow high will WTI oil get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
KalshiUS gas prices this week
KalshiHow high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketRules
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $85.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ICE
Rules for each outcome
- 85.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $85.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $85.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 84.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $84.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $84.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $83.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $83.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 82.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $82.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $82.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $81.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $81.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $80.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $80.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $79.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $79.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 78.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $78.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $78.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 77.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $77.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $77.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 76.49 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $76.50 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75.99 or below
- If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $76.00 between Issuance and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.