KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probabilityBenjamin Netanyahu 0%+0.1ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$12.9K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.3%
Market data
Updated 26 days ago
StaleMar 1, 26, 8:00 PMJul 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Benjamin Netanyahu
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 0% | — | $12.9K | $3.9K | 26 days ago | |
 Polymarket82% match · verified | Low | 0% | — | $1.5K | $0 | 26 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
0.1 ptsClosed
0%
-0.1pt0%
-0.1pt0%
+5 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$17.5M
24h Vol$1.5K
POLYMARKETRules
If Marco Rubio has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
$2.8MJuly 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
$769.2KJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
$585.8KAugust 31: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
$113.2KBefore Sep 1, 2026: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
$49.3KAbove 50: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$20KYes: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraph
Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRules
If Marco Rubio has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
- For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
- For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
- For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
- International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.