KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 181.2 bu/acre · —
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Stored price
Below 181.2 bu/acre 51.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Below 181.2 bu/acre 51.5%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$120.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Below 181.2 bu/acreSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 13, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 12, 27, 4:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below 181.2 bu/acre
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
South Dakota corn yield in 2026
KalshiNebraska corn yield in 2026
KalshiWisconsin corn yield in 2026
KalshiWill Indiana corn yield exceed 205 bushels per acre in 2027?
KalshiWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.9 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of corn exceed 5.96 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExRules
If U.S. corn yield per harvested acre for the 2026/27 marketing year is below 181.2 bu/acre, as reported in the January 2027 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of Agriculture
- The Underlying is the “Yield per Harvested Acre” figure in the CORN section of the “U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use” table, using the January estimate for the 2026/27 marketing year. For this market, the first publication of the January 2027 WASDE report controls, including if USDA labels the figure an estimate or projection. Earlier reports and subsequent revisions, corrections, or reports will not be considered. If publication is delayed, the January 2027 report remains the designated report, subject to ECONSTAT’s expiration and contingency provisions. The comparison value is fixed at 181.2 bushels per acre, the October 2026 WASDE estimate. Compare the published yield directly; do not recalculate it from production and acreage. For “exactly,” apply ECONSTAT’s two-decimal rounding convention, so a published value of 181.2 equals 181.20.
Rules for each outcome
- Below 181.2 bu/acre
- If U.S. corn yield per harvested acre for the 2026/27 marketing year is below 181.2 bu/acre, as reported in the January 2027 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 181.2 bu/acre
- If U.S. corn yield per harvested acre for the 2026/27 marketing year is above 181.2 bu/acre, as reported in the January 2027 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 181.2 bu/acre
- If U.S. corn yield per harvested acre for the 2026/27 marketing year is exactly 181.2 bu/acre, as reported in the January 2027 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, then the market resolves to Yes.
