KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 85,000 MW 99%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27K
Liquidity
$21.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 4:55 AM UTCSep 24, 26, 4:55 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill oil demand plunge by 30% over the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8250 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill demand for Rhodium from the glass industry be ≥ ~8900 ozt in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 23, 2026 is above
Settles via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- 80,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 23, 2026 operating day.
- Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour.
- Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHINatural gas price on September 25, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $1.89999%
- Above $2.099+1.0pt99%
- Above $1.59999%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $397.4K
- 24h Vol
- $207.1K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.6M
- 24h Vol
- $191.5K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.435099%
- Above 4.465099%
- Above 4.460099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $171.7K
- 24h Vol
- $169.9K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.340099%
- Above 4.3600+3.0pt99%
- Above 4.300099%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $265.6K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt29%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt19%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt16%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIHow high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- $115.01 or above+1.7pt35%
- $120.01 or above+1.3pt31%
- $125.01 or above+0.3pt24%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Florida gas prices tomorrow
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Maryland gas prices tomorrow
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Texas crude oil production in 2026
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 24, 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Copper price on September 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 23, 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 85,000 MW at 99% as of September 24, 2026.
- When does Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 23, 2026 resolve?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 23, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 23, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 23, 2026 is above