KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
800,000 or more · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored price
800,000 or more 11%Market line of 6 lines
800,000 or more 11%Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
800,000 or moreSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 800,000 or more
Loading selected book…
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KalshiRules
If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:TwitchTwitchTrackerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalTechCrunchThe VergePolygonKotaku
- Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.
Rules for each outcome
- 800,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 600,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,100,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1100000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,200,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1200000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 700,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 700000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,000,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1000000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.