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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Esports
  3. Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?

Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?

EsportsYearlySports6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 14%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$17

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 20.0%

Spread

42.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes14%

Rules

If Ninja's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 10000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting.
  • Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included.
  • Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included.
  • Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered.
  • If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Ninja's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 10000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting.
  • Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included.
  • Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included.
  • Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered.
  • If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved.