KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Barack Hussein Obama (99%)
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, 8:21 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Barack Hussein Obama
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityIran (3+ times) 1%Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$184.4K
Liquidity
$1.9K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 4:30 PMJul 21, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Iran (3+ times)1%
2501%
Barack Hussein Obama99%
Biden1%
Israel / Israeli1%
Communist / Communism99%
American Flag Blue1%
Birthright99%
Gas / Gasoline1%
Nuclear99%
Dumbocrat / Dumacrat1%
Ceasefire1%
Transgender1%
Democrat99%
Hormuz1%
Reflecting / Pool1%
Oil99%
Save Act / Save America Act99%
Stock Market1%
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
Venezuela1%
Too Late1%
Supreme Court99%
Tariff1%
Hottest1%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
99%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If Donald Trump says 250 as part of next White House livestream, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the next White House livestream will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.