KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: CONFESSIONS II (99%)
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, 3:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 3:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
CONFESSIONS II 90.8%Leader of 26 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$20.1K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 40 days ago
StaleJul 1, 26, 3:01 PMJul 13, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
SWAG1%
ICEMAN1%
CONFESSIONS II99%
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love1%
Dangerous: The Double Album0%
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS0%
I'm The Problem3%
ML20%
Number Ones0%
OCTANE0%
One Thing At A Time0%
SOS0%
Stick Season0%
The Great Divide0%
The Art of Loving0%
Thriller0%
Toby Keith 35 Biggest Hits0%
V80%
Visitor0%
xperiment0%
Chronicle: The 20 Greatest Hits0%
DANDELION1%
GOLDEN HOUR : PART.51%
Greatest Hits0%
S.K.A.T.E.1%
90.8%
2.8%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If ARIRANG is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
- Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
- If the named outcome is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If DANDELION is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+4.6pt28%
- No Bond chosen-6.5pt22%
- Callum Turner+1.5pt17%
+46 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $370.9K
- 24h Vol
- $149K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
- 800 - 900m-9.5pt66.7%
- 900m++8.3pt33.3%
- <400m0%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Dee Valladares+6.0pt25.9%
- Rick Devens+1.0pt15.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer9.3%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- <900m-8.0pt69.7%
- 900 - 920m+8.5pt30.3%
- 920 - 940m0%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Before January 202897%
- Before July 2027+2.0pt97%
- Before 2027+2.0pt88%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey+1.0pt60%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $43.5K
- Long Way Home: First Week Album Equivalent Units
- Insidious: Out of the Further · Rotten Tomatoes score
- "The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- Mutiny · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- #2 US Netflix Movie this week?
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (August 17, 2026 - August 23, 2026)
- Avengers: Doomsday: Cast
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- It Ends · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026??
- Kalshi prices CONFESSIONS II at 91% as of July 14, 2026.
- When does #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026? resolve?
- #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on July 13, 2026.
- How is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If ARIRANG is #1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.