This market resolved: Claude (98%)
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, 3:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Claude
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probability
ChatGPT 1%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$79.9K
Liquidity
$989.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJun 13, 26, 5:00 PMJun 20, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
ChatGPT1%
Claude98%
Dola1%
Gemini1%
GLM1%
Grok1%
Qwen1%
Kimi1%
MiniMax1%
1%
98%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Related Markets
Top Coding AI this week
$2.3KGLM: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
$447.3KAnthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
$18.9KAnthropic: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
$8.4KJuly 31: 79%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
$7KBy Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
$2KYes: 2.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRules
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jun 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank, then the model with the highest Arena Score will resolve to Yes.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will resolve to Yes.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will resolve to Yes.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jun 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jun 20, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.