KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 290 42%Market line of 5 lines
Above 290 42%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Open interest
$1.4K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 4:30 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
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KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
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KalshiRules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 260
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 270
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 270 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 280
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 290
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
