KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 282M (99%)
Resolved: Oct 7, 2026, 3:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 2:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 283M24%
Above 285M1%
Above 284M2%
Above 282MWon
Above 281MLost
Above 278MLost
Above 279MLost
Above 280MLost
Above 283MLost
Above 284MLost
Above 286MLost
Above 285MLost
Above 287MLost
Above 288MLost
Above 289MLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 278 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)”, under the Current Week column.
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 279 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 280 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 281 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 2, 2026 is above 282 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.