KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Deckers Outdoor 18%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$200
Liquidity
$200
Low liquiditySpread
59.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3?
KalshiWhich companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
KalshiCompanies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?
KalshiWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRules
If Kenvue is announced to be or is officially removed from S&P 500 during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:S&P Global
- The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the specified time period, whichever occurs first.
- The effective date of the change need not fall within the time period; only the announcement or implementation must occur within the time period.
- Temporary suspensions do not constitute removal unless explicitly designated as permanent by the index administrator.
- If an announced addition or removal is subsequently reversed due to error within the time period, the Exchange will determine resolution at its discretion.
- For companies undergoing mergers, acquisitions, or restructuring, removal from the index due to such corporate actions constitutes removal for purposes of this market.
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79.8%
- Apple-0.8pt13.1%
- Alphabet-1.0pt6.1%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7M
- 24h Vol
- $68.3K
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt16.8%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt8.9%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,565 or above92%
- 7,595 or above90%
- 7,610 or above80%
+57 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $23K
- 24h Vol
- $23K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,470 or above52%
- 29,520 or above42%
- 29,570 or above35%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.5K
- 24h Vol
- $22.5K
POLYMARKETSTRC hits $100 by…
- December 31-2.0pt69.6%
- September 30-1.5pt30.4%
- June 30-0.4pt0%
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Will Mar-27 S&P 500 Index Futures settle above $7,600 on December 31 2026?
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P price on Sep 10, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4??
- Kalshi prices Deckers Outdoor at 18% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? resolve?
- Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Kenvue is announced to be or is officially removed from S&P 500 during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.