KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before November 33%-4.0pt
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.5
Liquidity
$7.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 41.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Mar 13, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Playboi Carti release BABY BOI this year?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify
- If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- **Important information:** For the purposes of this market, where a song takes the form of a “new song,” the release must be an original composition.
- Releases derived from or modifying a song already publicly available on Spotify, including releases with newly added verses or other modifications to an existing composition, do not meet the Payout Criterion solely by virtue of containing new material.
- Accordingly, “SmaXk Or Die - (feat.
- Playboi Carti)” by Fatt Smaxk, released May 22, 2026, is derived from “SmaXk Or Die” by Fatt Smaxk, which was publicly available on Spotify beginning October 11, 2025.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Playboi Carti release a new song??
- Kalshi prices Before November at 33% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does When will Playboi Carti release a new song? resolve?
- When will Playboi Carti release a new song? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is When will Playboi Carti release a new song? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Playboi Carti releases a new song Before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.