PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 76.2%-0.5pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$112.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 35.0%
Spread
23.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 17, 26, 9:31 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count.
- Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count.
- Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
Open markets
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 12, 2026?
- 81° to 82°+73.0pt95.2%
- 85° or above-20.0pt1%
- 83° to 84°-47.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $486.6K
- 24h Vol
- $441.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 12, 2026?
- Seattle+21.0pt99%
- Atlanta+13.0pt99%
- Boston-1.0pt4%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $471.3K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,750 or above98%
- $75,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $264.6K
- 24h Vol
- $260.5K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,500 or above97%
- $65,500 or above97%
- $68,000 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $335.6K
- 24h Vol
- $258.1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 160-179+2.0pt20.2%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 140-159+6.0pt18.2%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- <40+29.5pt53.4%
- 40-64-12.0pt40.8%
- 65-89-13.5pt4.8%
+7 more outcomes
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Zohran Mamdani release another song??
- Polymarket prices No at 76% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? resolve?
- Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Zohran Mamdani release another song? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).