KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 12% (99%)
Resolved: Aug 6, 2026, 9:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 12% 99%+9.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.5K
Liquidity
$35.7K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleMay 26, 26, 9:34 PM UTCSep 5, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 18%1%
Above 14%14%
Above 12%99%
Above 10%99%
Above 16%3%
Above 15%1%
99%
99%
99%
14%
3%
3%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
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- If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 12% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 14% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
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- <200%
+23 more outcomes
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- $2.5M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+3.9pt97%
- Apple-3.5pt3%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
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+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFirst to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- None by December 25, 202683.5%
- Artificial Inu (AI)+1.0pt9.7%
- Cash Cat (CASHCAT)-1.0pt4.8%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIPOs before 2027?
- Cerebras100%
- SpaceX+0.1pt100%
- Wealthfront+0.7pt100%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
- Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3
- Instacart gross transaction value in Q3
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2?
- Kalshi prices Above 12% at 99% as of August 6, 2026.
- When does Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 resolve?
- Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 is scheduled to resolve on September 5, 2026.
- How is Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.