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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, 6:20 PM

Winning Outcome

Oh Se-hoon

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

10%

Surprise
Current implied probability
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.6K

Liquidity

$1.3K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale
Dec 16, 25, 3:00 PMJun 3, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4
Outcome24hChance
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Rules

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.