KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Iran / Iranian 94%Leader of 16 outcomes
Iran / Iranian 94%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$1.2K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 28, 26, 2:30 PM UTCOct 12, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRules
If Marco Rubio says the named outcome as part of Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Hannity originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Marco Rubio speaking in an official capacity.