KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: ICE (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
ICE 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$31.9K
Liquidity
$29.6K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleSep 2, 26, 7:00 PMSep 17, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional0%
ICE36%
Graham / Platner13%
Republican59%
Trump0%
Tariff73%
Susan / Collins85%
Healthcare71%
Event does not qualify0%
Corrupt / Corruption0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the MS NOW: The Briefing with Jen Psaki will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Troy Jackson speaking in an official capacity.