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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout
KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

KY-04 Republican primary: voter turnout

PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Above 100k (99%)

Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, 12:57 AM

Winning Outcome

Above 100k

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Above 100k
Above 100k 99%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.2

Liquidity

$1.4K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
Apr 16, 26, 2:00 PMMay 19, 27, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Above 110k1%
Above 130k1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 7Jun 8Jun 8
Outcome24hChance
Above 100k
Above 100k
99%
Above 50k
Above 50k
99%
Above 60k
Above 60k
99%
Above 70k
Above 70k
99%
Above 80k
Above 80k
99%
Above 90k
Above 90k
99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.