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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)

2.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection11mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 850k
Above 850k 99%+2.0%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$312.7

Liquidity

$884.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 14, 26, 10:00 PMJun 2, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 850k99%

Rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.

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Rules

If the total vote count for all participants in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is above 550000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority.
  • Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification.
  • In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority.
  • The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals.
  • Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify.