South Carolina Republican Governor primary runoff margin of victory?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, 8:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$215
Liquidity
$886.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleJun 16, 26, 5:14 PMJun 23, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.