Colorado Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
2.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection12mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityPhil Weiser, 12-15% 99%+2.0%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$16.8K
Liquidity
$42.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 3:01 PMJun 30, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Phil Weiser, 12-15%99%
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If the margin of victory for Michael Bennet in the 2026 Colorado Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Bennet minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Bennet minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Bennet if Michael Bennet wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Bennet loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Bennet wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Bennet minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Bennet does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.