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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?
Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

Georgia Republican Governor runoff margin of victory?

4.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Rick Jackson, 9-12%
Rick Jackson, 9-12% 7%+4.0%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$77

Liquidity

$155.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 6.0%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jun 9, 26, 2:00 PMJun 16, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Rick Jackson, 9-12%7%

Rules

If the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Rick Jackson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Rick Jackson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Rick Jackson wins, or the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Rick Jackson does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Rules

If the margin of victory for Rick Jackson in the 2026 Georgia Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Rick Jackson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Rick Jackson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Rick Jackson if Rick Jackson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Rick Jackson loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Rick Jackson wins, or the electoral votes received by Rick Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Rick Jackson does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.