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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?
Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

1.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Mike Collins, 0-5%
Mike Collins, 0-5% 8%-1.0%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$75.4

Liquidity

$147.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jun 8, 26, 5:00 PMJun 16, 27, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Mike Collins, 0-5%8%

Rules

If the margin of victory for Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Derek Dooley minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Derek Dooley minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Derek Dooley wins, or the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Derek Dooley does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Rules

If the margin of victory for Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Derek Dooley minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Derek Dooley minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Derek Dooley wins, or the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Derek Dooley does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.