KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityJulia Letlow, ≥3% 99%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$147.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 10:30 PMJun 27, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Julia Letlow, ≥3%99%
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If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate runoff falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.