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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award?
What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award?

What will Jerome Powell say during his acceptance remarks for the JFK Courage Award?

4.0% (24h)FedOne-OffUS Politics
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Good Evening (99%)

Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, 12:29 PM

Winning Outcome

Good Evening

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current implied probability
Trump
Trump 1%-4.0%
Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.6K

Liquidity

$2.3K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 12 days ago

Stale
May 27, 26, 2:00 AMJun 1, 26, 8:10 AM

Probability Timeline

Trump7%
Good Evening34%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 8%
President87%
Pandemic28%
Inflation1%
Political / Politics61%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin2%
Uncertainty27%
Kevin / Warsh22%
Recession13%
Stock Market6%
Iran / Iranian4%
Tariff11%
Dual Mandate32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline8%
Productivity11%
Event does not qualify2%
0%25%50%75%100%May 31Jun 1Jun 1
Outcome24hChance
Trump
Trump
-4.0%
1%
Good Evening
Good Evening
+46.0%
99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
AI / Artificial Intelligence
-15.0%
1%
President
President
+41.0%
99%
Pandemic
Pandemic
+51.0%
99%
Inflation
Inflation
-79.0%
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Acceptance Remarks At the John F.
  • Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Acceptance Remarks At the John F.
  • Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Acceptance Remarks At the John F.
  • Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Acceptance Remarks At the John F.
  • Kennedy Profile in Courage Award Ceremony will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.