KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probability0 1%-13.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$48.7K
Liquidity
$37.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 30, 26, 2:00 PMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
01%
Related Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$534.8KGavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
$466.1KJohn Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$223.1KJames Fishback: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
$178.7KBefore 2027: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$88.9KJune 30, 2027: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump out as President before 2027?
$79.1KYes: 7%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court spurns Trump Carroll appeal as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRules
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 1 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 2 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 3 and 9 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 10 and 24 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 99 persons in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.