Target Price: $1,094.232
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (63%)
Resolved: Oct 21, 2026, 4:30 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 4:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes37%
No63%
NoWon
YesLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,050 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,150 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS gas prices this week
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Pyth - Palladium
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
