KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (86%)
Resolved: Oct 8, 2026, 4:30 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 4:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes86%
No14%
YesWon
NoLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Palladium on Oct 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT is at least the close price of the 1-minute Pyth PALLADIUM candlestick at 12:15 PM EDT on October 8, 2026 USD/|| Unit ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Palladium
- The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places.
- When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval.
- For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM.
- If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.