KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 66% 84%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$2
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 9:00 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Top Open Source AI this week
KalshiWill China ban Open Source AI before the United States
Manifold Markets2 of the top 5 AI's are open source at eoy 2027? (ECI)
Manifold MarketsWill open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 24, 2026 is above 66%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart.
- At 10:00 AM ET on Sep 25, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Sep 24, 2026.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 24, 2026 is above 69%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
CryptoKALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $79,750 or above99%
- $79,500 or above99%
- $79,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $80,900 or above99%
- $80,800 or above99%
- $80,700 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↓ 75,000+52.5pt100%
+30 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above-2.0pt97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $589.9K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 14-20?
- ↑ 80,000+88.5pt100%
- ↓ 76,000+51.5pt100%
- ↓ 78,000100%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1,800 or above99%
- $2,560 or above99%
- $2,000 or above98%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $296.1K
- 24h Vol
- $296.1K
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 21?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Ethereum hit September 14-20?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 20?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 21?
- Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
- ETH price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- BTC price range on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Open Source market share on Sep 24th?
- Kalshi prices Above 66% at 84% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Open Source market share on Sep 24th resolve?
- Open Source market share on Sep 24th is scheduled to resolve on September 25, 2026.
- How is Open Source market share on Sep 24th settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Sep 24, 2026 is above 66%, then the market resolves to Yes.