This market resolved: Chicago (99%)
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, 2:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Chicago
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
99%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Southside 96%+36.0%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$409.8K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
96.0% / 98.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJun 18, 26, 1:28 AMJul 4, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Southside96%
Trump97%
AI / Artificial Intelligence24%
Healthcare / Obamacare54%
Election / Midterm63%
Iran64%
World Cup24%
Hope98%
Biden32%
Ballroom / Pool10%
Basketball9%
Chicago77%
Event does not qualify1%
Michelle88%
96%
97%
1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
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If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Hope Comes Home: Inside the Obama Presidential Center will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Hope Comes Home: Inside the Obama Presidential Center will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.