KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 600,000 bales · —
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Stored price
Above 900,000 bales 44%Market line of 6 lines
Above 900,000 bales 44%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$6.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 600,000 balesSpread
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Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 31, 28, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 600,000 bales
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 900,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
- The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Cotton, Upland → Production → 480 LB Bales.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 600,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 600,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 700,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 700,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 800,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 800,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 900,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 900,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,000,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 1,000,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,100,000 bales
- If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 1,100,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes.