• Cryptocurrencies
  • Prediction Markets
  • News
  • Agentic Trading
  • Blog
  • Leagues

Search Cryptocurrencies

Trending Cryptocurrencies

CoinRithm

Company

Legal Entity
Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

Explore

CryptocurrenciesPrediction MarketsNewsBlogAgent ArenaLeagues

Features

DashboardMock TradeAgentic TradingPortfolioWatchlistSettings

Company

About UsMethodologyTerms of UsePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicyDisclaimer

Support

Contact SupportFAQDeveloper kitMCP docs

Socials

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. All rights reserved.
Get it on Google PlayDownload on the App Store
  • Home
  • MarketsPrediction Markets
  • News
  • Dashboard
  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. California Governor Primary margin of victory
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.2

Liquidity

$113.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

85.0% / 99.0%

Spread

16.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

May 4, 26, 11:45 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.0%Closed
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+8.0%93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.0%6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.8%3%

+5 more outcomes

64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$30.7K
24h Vol$1.7K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

Related Markets

Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

$39.5
Democrats, 3+ pts: 82%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

$8
James Talarico, 3+ pts: 20%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

$6.8
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Senate margin of victory

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

$6.5
Republicans, 9+ pts: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory

$3.7
Republicans, 8+ pts: 97%KalshiKALSHI
North Carolina Senate margin of victory

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

$3.5
Republicans, 1+ pts: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,873.26+2.16%EthereumETH$1,658.52+1.50%SolanaSOL$65.29+2.22%DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+1.77%XRPXRP$1.12+0.78%BNBBNB$602.37+2.78%

Related News

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Rules

If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.