KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 0% (99%)
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 1:47 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 4, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Above 1% 99%+29.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35.2K
Liquidity
$39.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 37 days ago
StaleMay 28, 26, 4:07 PM UTCSep 4, 26, 11:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 2%1%
Above 3%1%
Above 1%99%
Above 0.5%99%
Above 0%99%
Above 2.5%3%
Above 1.5%1%
Above 3.5%3%
Above 4.5%1%
Above 4%1%
99%
99%
99%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If McDonald's Corporation reports above 0% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- If McDonald's Corporation reports above 0.5% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If McDonald's Corporation reports above 1% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 1.5% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 2.0% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If McDonald's Corporation reports Above 2.5% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+0.6pt100%
- $25M+0.2pt100%
- $50M+1.4pt100%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-7.0pt75.8%
- Apple+3.2pt16.8%
- Alphabet6.3%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt23.8%
- 160-179+2.0pt22.8%
- 200-219+1.0pt17.8%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA-1.6pt96%
- Apple+1.9pt4%
- Alphabet-0.2pt0%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.5%
- 160-17913.6%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhat will Adobe say during their next earnings call?
- Topaz Labs+3.0pt95%
- Semrush+1.0pt95%
- GenStudio93%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- What will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for McDonald's comparable sales growth in Q2?
- Kalshi prices Above 1% at 99% as of August 4, 2026.
- When does McDonald's comparable sales growth in Q2 resolve?
- McDonald's comparable sales growth in Q2 is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is McDonald's comparable sales growth in Q2 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If McDonald's Corporation reports above 0% global comparable sales growth in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.