KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 9.00 Tcf 97%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 3:29 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?
KalshiWill US Natural Gas Production exceed 3,400,000 million cubic feet in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Natural Gas Production exceed 3,350,000 million cubic feet in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US Natural Gas Production exceed 3,450,000 million cubic feet in December 2026?
ForecastExLowest natural gas spot price in 2026
KalshiHighest natural gas spot price in 2026
KalshiRules
If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- 9.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series.
- Monthly average production rates will be converted into monthly volumes using the number of calendar days in each month and summed across January–December 2026.
- Production from the broader Appalachia region or Utica formation will not be included.
- EIA publishes the relevant shale-production series through its STEO data products.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 9.00 Tcf at 97% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026 resolve?
- Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above