KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 9.00 Tcf · —
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Stored price
Above 9.75 Tcf 77.5%Market line of 6 lines
Above 9.75 Tcf 77.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 9.00 TcfSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 3:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 9.00 Tcf
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Rules
If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.75 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- The Underlying is EIA’s Marcellus formation dry natural gas production series. Monthly average production rates will be converted into monthly volumes using the number of calendar days in each month and summed across January–December 2026. Production from the broader Appalachia region or Utica formation will not be included. EIA publishes the relevant shale-production series through its STEO data products.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 9.00 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.25 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.25 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.50 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.50 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.75 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 9.75 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.00 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 10.00 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.25 Tcf
- If EIA reports that dry natural gas production from the Marcellus formation for calendar year 2026 is above 10.25 Tcf, then the market resolves to Yes.
