KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 1.83 million (99%)
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 3:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 1.83 million
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 1.83 million99%
Above 1.835 million21%
Above 1.845 million11%
Above 1.85 million8%
Above 1.855 million5%
Above 1.83 millionWon
Above 1.82 millionLost
Above 1.825 millionLost
Above 1.835 millionLost
Above 1.845 millionLost
Above 1.84 millionLost
Above 1.85 millionLost
Above 1.855 millionLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Marriott International reports Above 1830000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.83 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1830000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.82 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1820000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.825 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1825000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.835 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1835000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.845 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1845000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.84 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1840000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.85 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1850000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.855 million
- If Marriott International reports Above 1855000.0 total rooms in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.