KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 52° to 53° (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
52° to 53°99%
54° to 55°2%
48° to 49°1%
47° or below1%
50° to 51°5%
56° or above1%
52° to 53°Won
Before close: 15% ·
50° to 51°Lost
Before close: 35% ·
54° to 55°Lost
Before close: 1% ·
48° to 49°Lost
Before close: 10% ·
47° or belowLost
Before close: 2% ·
56° or aboveLost
Before close: 1% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 52° to 53°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50° to 51°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 54° to 55°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 54-55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 48° to 49°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is between 48-49° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is less than 48° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 56° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) for Oct 30, 2026, is greater than 55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.