Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 12, 2026?
Tech
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 54° or above (99%)
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, 11:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
54° or above 95.2%+6.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
13 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 143 days ago
StaleApr 11, 26, 2:00 PMApr 19, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Apr 12, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 12, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 54° or above at 95% as of April 11, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 12, 2026? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 12, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Chicago on Apr 12, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Apr 12, 2026, is between 52-53° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.