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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?
Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?

Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 AM

Current implied probability
Spencer Pratt
Spencer Pratt 1%-1.0%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

77 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$8.7K

Liquidity

$49.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Stale
May 11, 26, 5:30 PMJun 1, 28, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Spencer Pratt
Spencer Pratt
-1.0%
1%
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
+1.0%
99%
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
99%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

Rules

If Karen Bass is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Los Angeles certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Karen Bass has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first.
  • Official certification is not required for resolution.
  • This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
  • If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.

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Rules

If Karen Bass is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If a candidate wins the first round outright with a majority, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • A candidate is "announced to qualify" when the official election authority of Los Angeles certifies or announces qualification, OR when the Associated Press or at least two other Source Agencies report that Karen Bass has qualified for the runoff, whichever occurs first.
  • Official certification is not required for resolution.
  • This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified.
  • If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.