KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAt least 1 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$18.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 20.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 14, 26, 7:30 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 817%
Volume trend
$2.5kJul 221d of dataJul 28
Related Markets
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$223.1KYes: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
$150.9KDecember 31: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
$111.9KAugust 31: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
$8.3KCeasefire: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$3K$0 / No Acquisition: 83%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
$1.3KChina invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRules
If above 0 federal judges are confirmed in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The positions that are eligible for inclusion are:
- Supreme Court justices Court of Federal Claims judges U.S.
- Court of Appeals judges U.S.
- District Court (including territorial courts) judges
- Judges for the following courts are NOT included: